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Modest growth forecast
World production and capacity of sodium sulphate is much higher than is usually published. Most assessments underestimate output in China and Spain, and often do not include Taiwan, Thailand and several other countries. Total capacity is probably between 9.4Mtpy and 10Mtpy, with production around 6.5Mtpy. Sodium sulphate consumption is heavily influenced by the detergent market, which accounts for over 45% of world demand. While the market for detergents in industrialised countries is mature, consumption is increasing in the industrialising countries of the Middle East and Latin America as they shift away from soap bars towards powder detergents. Detergent demand in Latin America will be the driving force behind the 10%pa growth forecast for the region's sodium sulphate consumption.
In 1995 growth in total world sodium sulphate demand was forecast at up to 8%pa, but reduced to around 3%pa by 1996. The recent economic difficulties in Asia and Russia have meant that forecasts have again had to be reviewed downwards.
Report highlights
During the 1990s there have been large capacity expansions and increases in output in China, Spain, Mexico, Iran, Egypt, South Africa and Chile. Further capacity expansions of 0.3Mtpy are planned in Chile.
In Western Europe conventional detergent powders are now more popular than concentrates, but this situation may change: detergent tablets, a new product in Western Europe and North America, will also affect sodium sulphate demand if they succeed.
World demand from the textile sector is put at between 0.75Mt and 1.25Mt, or 16.5% of total world demand for sodium sulphate.
Environmental legislation has reduced demand from the paper sector in many regions, forcing producers either to upgrade the quality of their sodium sulphate or to stop selling it. Natural producers are facing stiffer competition from companies making upgraded sodium sulphate as a by-product of chrome chemicals and battery recycling.
The recorded amount of sodium sulphate traded nearly doubled between 1989 and 1997. This may be due to the loss of demand from some applications in North America and Western Europe, prompting producers to increase their export sales. Strong demand in Latin America has driven imports up.
The Economics of Sodium Sulphate published 01/01/1999
195 pages, 171 tables and 15 figures.
ISBN 0 86214 814 6
Complete report price:
GBP 600
EUR 1050
USD 1200
plus postage/packing.